I've watched just about all Kobe-LeBron games since 2003, as I'm a fan of both players. And two things have been constant:
1. Kobe shoots a lot more FGAs against LeBron teams, and makes a lower %.
Over the last 4 games, Kobe is 9.25 FGM 25.25 FGA. His average: 9 FGM 19.9 FGA.
He seems to go into hero-ball more often against LeBron teams (and against the Celtics, but that's another story).
2. Pau has had difficulty being defended by Big Z. Unbelievable unless you've watched it. Pau usually beats other big men through his spins and moves and then shoots over them. Z takes away some of Pau's air space on his shot and Pau has to arc it more, kaya madalas kapos.
Over the last 4 games against Z: Pau 44%FG vs his average of 53%.
Over those 4 games, in terms of +/-: Kobe -43, Pau -35
If LAL and MIA do meet in the Finals (I doubt it, I don't think the Heat will be East champs), it will be Odom and Bynum that should be the deciding factors.