For the past 5 years I've amassed a respectable collection of DVDs ranging from the classics to the current fantasy blockbusters. I’ve lovingly kept them at their best and lent them out to trusted friends. Now though I’ve decided to stop all together. I wont be buying the Star Wars DVD box set nor will I get the Return of the King Extended Edition. I am going cold fish because I know that in 2-4 years time DVDs will be obsolete. Yes, my friends the DVDs we’ve lusted, craved and fantasized will be delegated to the dust bin of yesterday’s technology. It’ll join our old friend the VHS, Betamax and the 8 track. It’ll be a footnote in our ever expanding collection of old and obsolete AV gear.
Movies and TV programs that are coming out now on DVD will also be offered in a new and better format called HD-DVD and Blu-ray discs. I wont bore you with the technical differences between the two nor with the headache of having two formats will be for us the consumer. But I’ll tell you this though Sony won’t make this any easier for us as they just announced that the PS3 will be sporting a Blu-ray Disc ROM (BD-ROM). Simply put come middle of 2005 we’ll all have access to BD players in the form of the PS3. This would push HD displays to the top of mainstream consumer’s wish list worldwide.
So what’ll happen to HD-DVD you may ask? Well if they arrive in the market place early enough they may succeed in pre-empting Sony’s trust. The PS3 is guaranteed to be huge and its success will have a profound impact on what’ll be the de facto standard of the entertainment and technology industry. Also it is yet to be seen whether Microsoft or Nintendo will side with the BD or HD-DVD crowd.
So which side will you be taking?
If you substitute the words
blu-ray /hd where DVDs are, then substitute whatever new technology will come out in the future that supposedly will replace blu ray, then you're back to square one. In the meantime, I'd rather enjoy my DVDs
.
DVD has reached critical mass much faster than CDs. In other words, a lot more people own DVD machines now compared to when the CD replaced the turntable. It would be hard to make them change. So my take is whatever new technology, especially one employing the same form factor as the CD, will have to make them backward compatible. If the specs are to be believed, then a whole DVD content will only occupy a fraction of the new media. Therefore, I see people in the future buying the "new" dvd not for its HD content but the present content.
I believe
form factor will be the deciding factor. If the DVD format came out with the same form factor as the laserdisc, the laserdisc will still be around today. The convenience of the 5 1/4 factor clinched the switch (along with other factors, of course, lest I invite a slew of detractors- please take note that I am just making a simplified, albeit stretched justification of the importance of the new form factor.
If you remember a scene in
Superman when he was reviewing the the history of his planet in the crystal cave. Superman was inserting a crystal tube in a contraption. It is still a recorded message in a different form factor.
I'm using a DVD mega-changer which houses my Friends and XFiles DVDs along with other titles I enjoy watching over and over. I'd like to see a form factor similarly to
lego wherein you buy the movie, put it in your player and it becomes a permanent part of your collection always on hand when you want to watch it, then you build your collection by just putting them together ala lego style, the software of your player taking care of the menu selection of all your archives.
Maybe I'm watching to much x-files
voj