Our politicians are among those scammed. How so? They think the INC is a kingmaker.
Estimated membership of the INC: 2 million. That's about 2% of the population. How can 2% of the population block vote a presidential candidate into office? Impossible.
But how does the INC convince people that they are indeed a kingmaker?
Very easy. Wait until a few days before the date of the elections before announcing your choice. Look at the surveys, and endorse the candidate leading the surveys. The survey leader wins the elections, and people think you block voted him into office.
In the last surveys before the 2010 presidential elections, Pulse Asia result (April 2010) was P-Noy for president and Roxas for VP. SWS result (May 2010) was P-Noy for president and a tie for Roxas & Binay for VP.
Taking the surveys into consideration, which is the best choice? P-Noy and Mar Roxas, of course.
May 5, 2010 (only 5 days before elections), INC announces its official endorsements:
Iglesia Ni Cristo endorses Noynoy Aquino, Mar Roxas
Posted by akosistella on May 5, 2010
https://pulitika2010.wordpress.com/2010/05/05/iglesia-ni-cristo-endorses-noynoy-aquino-mar-roxas/ The survey results were obviously the basis for their choice.
Result?
Aquino and Binay. Talo si Mar Roxas, na ang INC endorsement ay kinopya lang sa survey.
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Now let's look at their senatorial endorsements for 2010. Out of the top 12 senatoriables, the INC chose 11.
I said on May 5, 2010:
Out of the top 12 from the last surveys by SWS and Pulse Asia, the INC picked 11.
Ruffy Biazon is the only endorsement who does not appear on the top 12 of the last SWS and Pulse Asia Surveys (Biazon is No. 16 on SWS and No. 18 on Pulse Asia).
I'd like to see how Biazon performs in this election. Let's see if the INC endorsement really affects the outcome of elections ...
If Biazon wins a senatorial seat, the INC endorsement might have something to do with it.
Actual results? Biazon loses, of course:
Here's the list of the 12 senators proclaimed:
Ramon Revilla Jr.;
Jinggoy Estrada;
Miriam Defensor-Santiago;
Franklin Drilon;
Juan Ponce Enrile;
Pia Cayetano;
Ferdinand Marcos Jr.;
Ralph Recto;
Vicente “Tito” Sotto III;
Manuel Lito Lapid;
Teofisto Guingona III; and
Sergio Osmeña III
As expected, Ruffy Biazon is nowhere to be found.
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Bakit masyadong sigurista?
Kasi sinuportahan nila si Danding Conjuangco for president in 1992. Resulta, hindi lang talo, kulelat pa. Lesson learned.
But the general public, did they notice that the INC cannot make a king? No.
Madali lang namang hulaan kung sino ang susuportahan ng INC. They will endorse whoever is leading the surveys.
sir is that merely an assumption or a historical fact? pero hula ko rin yun ie-endorse nila.
Yes, historical yan. Nagtataka nga ako kung bakit hindi napapansin ng mga tao.
Don't forget, sinuportahan nila si Danding in 1992, natalo. After 1992, they just endorse whoever is leading the surveys, then announce the endorsement only a few days before election day.
1992 - The INC endorsed Danding Cojuangco several months before election day.
- April 1992 SWS survey: FVR & Miriam tied at 1st & 2nd place; Danding 3rd place.
- May 11, 1992 elections - Talo si Danding. He finished 3rd place, natalo pa ni Miriam.
After 1992, the INC never endorsed that far ahead of election day again.
1998 - Erap was leading the survey by a very wide margin.
- INC endorsed Erap on May 6 or 7, 1998.
- May 11, 1998 elections - Erap won.
2004 - Latest survey showed a near tie between GMA & FPJ, but GMA was still leading by a very small margin.
- INC endorsed GMA on May 6, 2004.
- May 10, 2004 elections - GMA won.